Misprice

Where Misprice wins

Sportsbook arbitrage (low-drama, mechanical)

When different books disagree enough, Misprice can detect true arbitrage and show optimal allocation.

+EV bets with confidence + liquidity

Misprice highlights bets where the model's fair probability beats the market implied probability—only when confidence and liquidity clear thresholds.

Sportsbooks vs prediction markets (divergence)

Prediction markets sometimes price information faster. Sportsbooks sometimes price sharper. Misprice finds the spread and tracks it over time.

Beyond sports

The architecture generalizes to other markets where prices disagree:

  • crypto venues
  • macro event contracts
  • other liquid probability markets

We'll expand after the MVP proves the loop.